Why War With China Will Get You Drafted

Why War With China Will Get You Drafted

The date is July, 2019, and rumors of a military
buildup of Chinese forces across the strait from Taiwan begin to leak to the international
press. As the fourth of July is celebrated here at
home, thousands of miles away Taiwan begins to move their command and control functions
into hardened, nuclear-proof underground facilities. F-16s and other strike aircraft are moved
into mountain bases, and dummy missile batteries and anti-aircraft platforms are set up around
the island of Taiwan. August rolls around and by now it’s clear
to the world that China is indeed massing what looks like an invasion force on its side
of the Taiwan strait, though the Chinese leader, Xi Jinping, reassures the world that he is
only interested in a peaceful reunification of Taiwan and the mainland. The American military is put at DEFCON 3,
which signals the Air Force to be ready to mobilize for a potential nuclear conflict
in just fifteen minutes. As September comes, the Chinese military has
begun commandeering civilian ships in order to help move its 1 million man strong invasion
force across the channel- the Chinese military lacks the amphibious capability to move more
than a few thousand troops at a time, but in order to face 100,000 Taiwanese defenders
and their 2 million reservists, the People’s Liberation Army will need every available
ship it can get its hands on, no matter how big or small. Across the strait Taiwan has begun littering
the only thirteen beaches that an invasion force could be landed on with mines, razor
wire, and other horrific surprises. The US Pacific Fleet is fully mobilized by
now, and the United States is at DEFCON 2. All military leave is canceled and Marines
board transports as they head for bases in Australia, Japan, and Guam. PACCOM’s carrier groups disperse a thousand
miles off shore from Taiwan, careful to make sure that they do not stray too deep into
the net of ballistic missile coverage that China uses to threaten American naval vessels. There is no hiding China’s intentions now,
an invasion of Taiwan is coming and the entire world knows it. Taiwanese troops, supplemented by a few thousand
rapid response American forces, dig in for what will be the largest amphibious assault
in history. The date is October 3rd, 2019. The seas between Taiwan and China are finally
calm again, presenting a narrow 4-week opportunity for an amphibious assault that only reoccurs
briefly one other time of the year, in May. Chinese troops are rushed to waiting transports,
the lucky ones board military amphibious landing craft, while the unlucky ones must make the
treacherous crossing on civilian boats with little if any protection. Overhead, hundreds of missiles fly out over
the strait, slamming into radar, communications, and control nodes all over the island. Air fields are cratered, civilian power plants
are destroyed. Chinese jets scream overhead en route to strike
at Taiwanese tanks and artillery pieces, shortly after followed by Chinese bombers. Yet the Taiwanese Air Force has long been
redeployed to underground facilities, and American-made F-16s flown by Taiwanese pilots
rise up to meet the incoming Chinese planes. A thousand miles away, US carrier battle groups
are given the green light to advance to forward positions just off the Taiwan coast. Bringing a significant portion of America’s
naval air power, they alone are more than a match for the Chinese air force- yet as
they steam ahead a rain of ballistic missiles falls upon the battle groups. Anti-missile defense systems intercept many,
yet others manage to slip through and deal devastating blows against American supercarriers. In moments thousands of American sailors are
dead, and in the first five minutes of the war more American servicemen have died than
in all conflicts combined since Vietnam. By the end of the first month of fighting
American casualties will reach Vietnam-war levels, with Chinese and Taiwanese casualties
many times that number. By the end of 2019 the war will officially
be the bloodiest conflict since World War II. But could such a war really happen, and if
it did, could you actually be drafted to fight in it? The sad answer is yes, and in fact American
military planners consider the Taiwan-China situation to be one of several flashpoints
that would lead directly to a third world war. China for its part has long claimed that it
seeks only a peaceful reunification with the island nation, yet just in 2016 Xi Jinping
stated that, “We have the determination, the ability, and the preparedness to deal
with Taiwanese independence, and if we do not deal with it, we will be overthrown.” China views Taiwan’s continued independence
as more than the historical thorn in its side, but now rather as a direct threat to the mainland’s
continued Communist leadership. This is because the island nation has only
grown more prosperous and economically powerful over the decades, becoming the 19th largest
economy in the world. Taiwan also directly employs many mainland
Chinese citizens, either on the island itself or in off-site factories and offices run by
Taiwanese businesses. The same cannot be said in large numbers of
China’s influence on Taiwan. Yet even more dangerous than Taiwan’s prosperity
is what Xi Jingpin and Chinese leadership fear the most- its liberal democracy. Taiwan’s liberal democratic values completely
undermine China’s own hardline nationalistic values. While China enforces strict censorship, Taiwan
espouses the same liberal values that America does- and mainland Chinese have begun to take
notice. Pro-democracy demonstrations continue to grow
within China, and as Chinese citizens spend more time abroad both in Taiwan and in Europe
and America, they are starting to bring democratic values back home with them. For China, Taiwan’s continued independence
is a deathly threat that must one day be eliminated, and increasingly it looks like plans to eliminate
Taiwan’s independence are to do so by force. Yet if China were to launch a war against
Taiwan, currently one of the likeliest conflicts that the US actively prepares for, then America
would be treaty bound to defend the island democracy. This would pit the two largest economies and
military powers in the world against each other, and while the US would inevitably come
out slightly ahead of China, casualties on both sides would be staggering. To this end, America would immediately need
to boost its active military forces. The first step in bolstering American forces
would be an immediate call up of all reservists. With 860,000 reservists, any draft notices
would likely not come for a while- yet depending on the scale of the war and America’s objectives,
a draft may be ultimately inevitable. Currently America has two objectives to achieve
in any conflict with China, the first being the complete destruction of its air and naval
forces, and the second being the toppling of its Communist government. The total destruction of all Chinese naval
and air forces are a non-negotiable objective, meaning that no matter how the war went, unless
it somehow went extremely poorly for the US, there would be no negotiations for a cease-fire
until this objective was met. The US would direct all of its efforts and
resources at ensuring that no Chinese naval or air forces survive the conflict, and the
reasoning is quite simple- China cannot hope to fight a second war if its navy and air
force is destroyed, and a lengthy rearmament period would take a decade or more, giving
ample opportunity for US and allies to rearm themselves. The removal of China’s communist government
is an ancillary objective which would be carried out via precision strikes, covert operations,
and psychological operations aimed at the Chinese citizenry. Given that a purely military removal of China’s
government would require a full-scale land invasion, the US is happy to wage a war and
not meet this objective, or leave it in the hands of a civilian population riled up by
aggressive psychological operations. In the first scenario it’s unlikely that a
draft would be instigated by the US government, given the US’s advantages in naval and air
forces both. Though both the American navy and air force
would suffer significant losses in the effort, China would indubitably face the complete
annihilation of its own navy and air force to the Americans and their allies. In this case, reservists would likely be enough
to bring American combat strength back to manageable levels, and a draft would be highly
unlikely. Yet if the scope of the conflict expanded
for any reason, and a direct removal of China’s communist government was the only road to
peace, an American draft would be a necessity. With over two million active duty forces in
the Chinese military, the US and its allies would need to bolster their own numbers significantly
to even attempt an invasion of China. All male American citizens and immigrant non-citizens
between the age of 18 and 25 are required by law to register in the selective service
system. In 2010 the SSS had over 16 million young
American men on file, yet the US has a total fit-for-service manpower pool of over 111
million. With an increasingly bloody conflict against
China, the SSS would without a doubt be activated, and full-rate conscription would begin for
the first time since Vietnam. War with China is not likely, and yet it is
considered the most realistic and probable flashpoint for the world’s next major war. While the world has not seen major powers
go to war since the end of World War II, and it will hopefully not see them do so ever
again, the reality is that several of any possible diplomatic missteps in the South
China Sea and the Taiwan Strait could lead straight to an unavoidable conflict between
the US and China. And with the life of the Chinese communist
party likely dependent on forcing Taiwan back into the fold and crushing the island’s democratic
government, the US may be headed straight for another military draft sooner than any
of us could have hoped for. Would you willingly volunteer for the draft,
or would you try to dodge it? Why or why not? Let us know in the comments! Also, be sure to check out our other video
Sinking Of The Unsinkable German WW2 Battleship Bismarck. Thanks for watching, and as always, don’t
forget to like, share and subscribe. See you next time.

100 thoughts on “Why War With China Will Get You Drafted

  1. It would be funny
    If this happend and the us actually lost its navy and airforce due to you not bringing into context. That china has more anti ship and air missiles all along its cost then the ships have anti missiles on its entire fleet 10 fold

  2. I definitely would willingly volunteer for the draft if it were to come. Id finally be able to be in the military eithout my diploma lol.

  3. You forgot that united state navy has f/a-18 super hornets, e2 sentey radar. Have radars on their ships. They would shoot down planes kilometers away. They wouldnt let any chinese planes go on top of their ships, they would strike their runways and planes on main land china. Im not even american and i know that.

  4. Drafting is a thoroughly tyrannical practice. Should be voluntary. I mean, if the people want to be "conquered" for any reason, why should their leaders be able to say otherwise? Is that even really a democracy? We've never had a democracy.

  5. i wouldn't try i would most definitely dodge it, im not throwing my life away for an island i didn't know existed before this video

  6. Taiwan is Cuba to China. And to imagine if the US puts missiles in Taiwan.

    It’ll literally be the Cuban Missile Crisis, for China.

  7. Why do these media sites forget that no two nuclear powers will ever declare war? Any war between the U.S and China, or the U.S and Russia, will be a nuclear one. Which means the end of the world as we know it, and both/all nation states as we know them.

  8. China could invade Taiwan in a matter of hours ..
    All China would need is a distraction somewhere else to drawer America and its Forces away….
    Then invade…job done..

  9. Wait, how does planes get pass a armada of super carriers? I mean the amount of planes a super carrier has is ridiculous, unless there are more planes than missiles a plane us carrier base fighter can carry, which is a lot. Not seeing that to be a thing.

  10. Barring the fact a war would likely lead to complete Nuclear annihilation for both powers and possibly even the world, but ya, keep that fantasy alive for yet more "Regime change" to keep our apparent status quo in the world. Worked SO well for the British…

  11. You forgot the part where Russia unzips and whips out their 8 lb 12 inch long….warheads and military. Russia has the technology. China has the raw numbers. North Korea will slap those nuke buttons and the middle east islamic terrorists will be out of control.

  12. Love the way Americans fantasise about their power but the reality is that they have gained power in a time where military power is irrelevant. Nuclear Bombs negate any chance of major wars. The power of the U.S is only held in the imagination of its citizens.

  13. Honestly I wouldn’t trust most of the public with my life if it came down to it. I’d much rather it stay voluntary but with an added incentive to get more soldiers

  14. If Donald Trump is the president I’m dodging the draft just like he did. If we have another president that’s a military veteran I’m going to war for that president.

  15. I was born I the china but live in the us so if a war broke out I’ll…. MOVE TO AUSTRALIA MATE

  16. China's airforce, weapon depots, navy, armored vehicle warehouses, missile batteries, AA batteries, silos and telecommunications would be destroyed in 24h. The only problem is the infantry, but starvation through bombings would take them to their knees in a month.

  17. Considering the fact that I'm nearly 35 and severely disabled, I think the chances of me ever being drafted are pretty much zero

  18. A video about the US-China trade war and how it affects the world economies and what would happen if it continuous please…

  19. What is the probability that the United States is already involved in the protest that are going on in China right now? Also the best fighter planes Bombers and helicopters that China has are nothing but recreations of what the US was using in the late 90s and early 2000s and they are really shity recreations at that. With that being said they are at least 10 years behind the United state in military hardware. We a like to talk about the F16 fighter jet because it's the only one United States has shown to the rest of the world. Because the United States has not found another adversary that is capable of taking out the F16 on a massive level rendering the F16 useless requiring the United States to issue out the newest thing they have that. The United States has been using that plane for the last 20 years now and if you honestly think we have not developed a better plane you are gravely mistaken. It was not until Osama bin Laden was killed that the rest of the world realized in the United States had a stealth helicopter that you would not be able to detect with radar or hear with your own ears until it was almost directly on top of you and the only reason why the rest of the world knows that we have that is because they crashed one and had a blow it up in that compound. Even though China and Russia are implementing vast leaps in technology they are still at least a decade behind us. So those countries are only a thread because they have nuclear weapons if they did not have intercontinental ballistic missile capabilities they would be a no different then Iraq or Afghanistan to the United States.

  20. It's funny to see all of the theoretical future draft dodgers😂 but seriously…if your government NEEDS you to fight to preserve freedom and you choose to dodge, you are incredibly selfish.

  21. Us and China goes to war against eachother

    Me: "I don't want to set the world on fire"

    ( bonus points for anyone who gets the reference)

  22. The cheery faces when the person get drafted is hilarious, nothing makes people smile like knowing their sons and husbands are getting dragged off to die in a war on the other side of the world. Also 111 million fit for the army? In the US? Maybe 10 million

  23. US builds wall
    > US and China start war
    > US army attemps to draft
    > People starts to climb over the wall to escape to Mexico
    Mexico: we need another wall!!!


  24. Originally I thought the intent of 'Throw a flashbang into a room filled with eptilaptic kids' was to instill veteran's trauma into children but then I realize eptilapitic might mean epileptic. If that is the case I don't get the reasoning.

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