Foreign Policy Times,No.6. US -Iran stand off

Foreign Policy Times,No.6. US -Iran stand off



32 parts to the question what is a day in our newest angle results in war which at the moment it's building on – there's the circulation cost or we shall not see excellent woman and if that happens then roughly 40% of the words tradable way comes from the Straits of Hormuz and Berlin Monday is all that while infrastructure and transit is in danger if that happens the big losers doesn't matter whether it not be substituted by Saudi Arabia or you still don't get why you will see that oil will not be available for countries like India Korea Japan and China China has language which we don't yes we can compensate for it in the long run but the short run 40 percent of the world's oil infrastructure getting destroyed which likely to happen doesn't augur well for you yeah it is good to hit us very hard it's a consequence to the world this really disastrous for India is even worse because that's why I said seventy percent of India's oil comes from West Asia so let's keep that in mind the second part is a question that you raised what about India's strategic relationship with Iran and it is true that in fact India always regarded Iran as a larger friend in the region and the two reasons one is against Pakistan Iran and clear in the organization positive and they have generally not taken any anterior positions and any other this kind of water secondly if you look at Central Asia then including Afghanistan which is the gateway to circulation for some patients then also Iran is the only country with which we would have an access to Afghanistan and Central Asia that's really geo-strategically again that's only route we have so once we said we're not going to be recruited the belt Road initiative we are not going to be a part of that only alternative in coming to Central Asia at the Eurasian landmass instead the closest point was Iran and the chibok part what was really as a part of that it was a sadness witness to Central Asia now as we know in the recent budget the budget reallocation has come down drastically and though we have partial sanguine or acceptance at to Jabbar food we can make some payments and so on the way things are it's almost become impossible to actually those payments and buy and sell if we write in our oil then they of course can take notes from us either so that is good to affect our exports at the choppa reporters said she is a project as far as Indian are concerned can be 10 which and interesting enough Pakistan and China better alternatives Virginia it's very easy we get from China it comes into the Pakistan and from Pakistan to Iran it hit waiting so you know you have this brick the metro initiated that becomes also the ciabatta poor which we have built at our cost so our investments in Afghanistan had no meaning if Iran becomes a country we can touch so strategically it is really the other side of the peace process which is known in which Pakistan is clearly much as a player in which Taliban of course is the regionally at the control about 70% of country as of now and which Moscow and China playing a much bigger role and us is somehow wanting to cut its losses and run they can't do it without partisan support that's the reality so as we said earlier America the United States a very transactional believe international terms so Pakistan the put pressure at certain points of time now they're saying mister and everybody's willing then to ask their price for that and Pakistan prices been simple keep back India out of Afghanistan and that's a price analysis quite happy to pay so losing Iran in this particular context under US pressure means the only other card we have in the region we also give up and I'm not saying whether it's a to be doing this is going on but when it comes to both you know I don't mind if you lose the high ground from strategic babies unless it it evokes you're losing the height model glove you're not willing to take position of what is under international law right that US sanctions legal that they are not United Nations sanctions they are not international sites is that illegal so that's that the high power grab should come other recent strategic interests itself can you just not use Iran as a possible and I and you know it is national terms personal terms your friend if in terms of times of need you are not afraid that you really not good weather friends are not the friends stop with the friends are using the friends and I think therefore or two occasions we seem to be willing to lose sacrifice Iran shall you say one was with international IAEA sanctions will be proposed we became popular double bonds into the sanctions which actually cost us an enormous amount of goodwill now again but Iran is facing in the existing shell crisis we seem to be willing to basically hide our head under the wall under the parapet you know and not showing because we don't want to take analysis whatsoever but we are forgetting that we have deep economic strategic interest in our relationship now and it's not a question of alliance it's a question of geostrategic interests and energy interests apart for the threat of war which I think in there should be much bigger rule to work because that's also that economic interest with 8 million expatriates who work in the Gulf region so in that religion is destroyed it's a huge income less remittances it's a huge market loss to us I think these are all things we have to consider Natalia has almost and I think see China is a longtime friend for Iran under sanctions China is not accepted to US sanctions and as always what and sold Iranian oil and what Iranian oil and sold goods to it I remember last time when the sanctions were wrong and that was earlier regime of sanctions at the time then China was buying oil from Iran they had a problem the insurance companies will actually give insurance of oil tanker so tankers would not agree to it so at that time the jointly with Iraq the worked out that you actually have tankers we should be good by Iran or China would transport oil and those insurance companies then were set up by China to provide the marine insurance so all this Shannon already prepared don't forget but the world today the major part of international trade can is maritime trade and us

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