Bloomberg Isn’t Alone: Deval Patrick Is Also Considering a Last-Minute 2020 Bid – News

Bloomberg Isn’t Alone: Deval Patrick Is Also Considering a Last-Minute 2020 Bid – News


Michael Bloomberg’s public consideration of a last-minute 2020 run may have started a trend With less than three months before the Iowa caucuses and state filing deadlines rapidly approaching, the New York Times and Associated Press reported Monday that former Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick is also mulling a 2020 bid, after initially announcing in late 2018 that he would not run Sources cited by the Boston Globe said that Patrick is “strongly considering” a run, and the politician is “likely to announce he’s in this week ” Per the Times, Patrick has already started reaching out to Democratic officials to signal that he might run, including party leaders in early nominating states and former Vice President Joe Biden, the current Democratic front-runner Patrick reportedly called Biden last week to say he was considering a run, but did not tell Biden that he had fully decided to enter the race at that point As with Bloomberg, Patrick’s potential about-face is seemingly motivated by a dissatisfaction with the current field, as Democrats worry about who can successfully take on President Donald Trump Party leaders who have spoken with Patrick told the Times that the former governor “doesn’t think any of the candidates running have established political momentum and that he thinks there is an opening for somebody who can unite both liberals and moderate Democrats ” (Patrick had previously said that a 2020 run was “not for me,” citing the “cruelty of our elections process” and its potential effect on those close to him ) Any potential decision will have to be made fast, however: The filing deadline for New Hampshire, an important early primary where New Englander Patrick would have a built-in advantage, is this Friday  Before he announced his initial decision not to run, Patrick was one of the more hyped-up potential 2020 contenders, particularly among alumni of former President Barack Obama’s administration “The center of gravity would really shift in his direction in Obama world if he were to decide to run,” one former White House official told Politico in 2017 Even Obama himself—who’s friends with Patrick and, per Politico, considers Patrick “among the very small group of people whom he thinks has actual political talent”—had reportedly encouraged him to consider a presidential bid But even if the Obama team gets behind him—which may now be trickier, given Biden’s candidacy—getting into the race this late in the game would still be an uphill battle Unlike billionaire Bloomberg and relatively-late 2020 entrant Tom Steyer, Patrick wouldn’t be able to self-fund his own campaign, and would need to build a robust fundraising operation very quickly in a field that’s already strapped for cash Patrick would also be far behind other candidates in establishing a presence in the early-voting states, and many of his former political aides are already working on other campaigns The former governor may not be the staunch moderate that Bloomberg is (Sen. Elizabeth Warren has already named him as someone she could want in her potential Cabinet), but he’ll also have to answer to progressives for his already not-uncontroversial business career Patrick went to Bain Capital after finishing up his gubernatorial duties, meaning he’ll have to contend with the residual Democratic bias against the investment firm from Mitt Romney’s 2012 run, and has also held roles at Texaco, Coca-Cola, and subprime mortgage lender ACC Capital Holdings  The current flood of Democratic politicians weighing whether they should make a last-ditch presidential bid comes as the Democratic elite have openly fretted about the current state of the Democratic race Biden, the establishment class’s favored candidate, is losing steam; donor darling Mayor Pete Buttigieg faces anxieties about whether he can get non-white voters on board; and Warren and Sen Bernie Sanders’ high rankings in the polls worry moderate Democrats terrified of wealth taxes and running on Medicare for All “With Trump looming, there is genuine concern that the horse many have bet on may be pulling up lame and the horse who has sprinted out front may not be able to win,” former Obama adviser David Axelrod told the Times in October And Bloomberg and Patrick may not even be the only would-be candidates mulling a last minute decision, as former U S. Attorney General Eric Holder is also reportedly considering a bid.Most Popular The Michael Bloomberg Bubble Lasted All of 48 HoursBy Eric Lutz Bloombergworld Operatives See a Path Are They Insane?By Chris Smith “It Felt Like Watching the End of the Biden Campaign”: Explaining the Weird Persistence and Stunning Weakness of Biden, Putative Front-RunnerBy Chris SmithAdvertisement But as all these politicians prepare to potentially elbow their way into an already-crowded field, there isn’t much sign that Democratic voters actually want them there An October HuffPost/YouGov poll found that 83% of Democratic voters were at least satisfied with the current field (45% of which were enthusiastic about it), while an October Fox News poll reported 69% of voters were happy with the Democratic field as it currently stands A FiveThirtyEight analysis also found that since 1976, the latest that an eventual non-incumbent nominee has gotten into the primary was August of the year before the election (former President Bill Clinton), suggesting that latecomers have a statistical disadvantage when it comes to getting the nomination So far, there isn’t much of a sign that Bloomberg can buck the trend: Early polling has put the former mayor at just 4%, suggesting he wouldn’t be able to shake up the race as he had hoped Whether Patrick, who doesn’t have either Bloomberg’s baggage or name recognition, would fare better remains to be seen—but Democrats concerned about 2020 may be better off investing more heavily in the candidates they already have than spreading the vote out even more through long-shot, last-minute bids As Patrick himself told the Times in October about Democrats’ anxieties over the current field: “Everybody needs to calm down, it’s early It’s so early.”More Great Stories From Vanity Fair — The strangely familiar nightmare of impeaching Trump— Clues to the identity of Anonymous, who wrote the explosive White House op-ed— Former Fox News staffers demand to be released from their NDAs— Why crypto-crooks have their sights set on Iceland— A sustained booing reveals Trump’s true face— From the archive: A portrait of Kim Jong Un, part man, part myth Looking for more? 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